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Could Instability Trigger Radical Change In Your Life? May 28, 2026
I propose that the world is upside down, that the way we live is the opposite of what we're told it is: we don't experience Progress, we experience Anti-Progress.
My five most recent essays (listed below) lay out an account of the present era that is radically different from the conventional narrative. It's worth noting that my writing is not "validated by credentials so you should listen to this person" or by data-based claims that "he called the exact top and bottom of the market and has beaten the market indices for 27 years." The foundation of my work is the text either validates or invalidates itself by its sources and reasoning and is best read as "written by anonymous." If you decide on the validity of the text based on the author's credentials and investment track record, there are hundreds of PhD economists to follow and thousands of accredited financial advisors to consult--or consult Warren Buffet's annual reports, as his investment track record speaks for itself. The trust we place in these validations based on credentials and past data rests on a continuation of the conventional status quo, i.e. recency bias, the belief that the recent past is a trustworthy guide to the future because everything is stable and predictable. And since everyone making their livelihood off the status quo has a built-in incentive to assume it's stable and predictable, there is no advantage to entertaining possibilities outside this context. This is the basis of assessing texts and ideas on their own merits rather than trusting the author will be correct this time because they are certified experts and/or they were right about things in the past. Trusting recency bias and credentials works well if the system is indeed stable and predictable. If it's not, then letting the ideas speak for themselves becomes the way to widen our survey of potential futures. I propose that the world is upside down, that the way we live is the opposite of what we're told it is: we don't experience Progress, we experience Anti-Progress. We don't live in an economy that optimizes value to compete for our dollars; we live in an economy that optimizes eliminating competition to maximize extraction. All the technologies of AI aren't additive and liberating; they're powerful tools that optimize centralized control and extraction. The claim is that AI will help us but the real goal is to use us. The system we inhabit isn't transparently fair, it's transparently corrupt, the perfection of self-service passing itself off as manifesting the noble ideals of "capitalism" and "democracy." Rather than being victims of powers beyond our control, we accepted the erosion of fairness--the foundation of all human societies--into a rigged casino that favors the few at the expense of the many because we accepted the promise that this unfair, corrupt economy, society and political system enabled us to get ahead: who needs fairness if we have a seat in the rigged casino? In the conventional telling, ours is a system of innovation, growth and opportunity. The reality is the opposite: the "innovation, growth and opportunity" are all concentrated in a vast credit-asset bubble that has richly rewarded those who own the assets that have skyrocketed in value and left everyone who doesn't own these assets behind. This structure--the real world is the opposite of what we're told--is a civilizational psychosis that benefits those at the top of the wealth-power pyramid. We go along with this psychosis because denial is our defense against a reality too painful to bear: our progression from a society of systemic fairness to a society of systemic unfairness. But denial, unfairness and credit-asset bubbles are all inherently unstable, and so once the bubble pops, denial will crack and be replaced by anger, an anger at ourselves and those we trusted that will seek expression by focusing on those who glorified the rigged casino the loudest because it enriched them so immensely. The alternative accounts touted by many are simply different flavors of the conventional narrative. One is that the Powers That Be are instituting a techno-financial web we cannot escape of tokens, blockchains and stable coins that will digitize every transaction and enable the Powers That Be to switch our financial lives on or off as the means of an ironclad control. If we change our money, the narrative holds, then we can escape this perfection of Orwellian control. The problem is that changing the money in a rigged casino doesn't unrig the casino; all it means is those in the casino start using another form of money. Another narrative holds that technology and system dynamics can be wielded to reverse the decay and fulfill the fantasies of super-abundance and technological Progress. Neither narrative acknowledges that humans are hard-wired to live in a moral universe, as our sensitivity to fairness--which includes transparency, integrity, truth, honesty, duty, obligation and reciprocity--is the foundation of our social skills, which are our core selective advantage as a species. The moral universe isn't some concept that isn't "real"--we're constantly told that what's "real" is finance, money, the economy, technology, data and systems--the moral universe is the foundation of all civilization. In dismissing this innate sensitivity to fairness as inconsequential in the "real world" of systems and data, we dismiss an understanding of our civilizational psychosis and our own denial of this psychosis. There is a place for technology, finance, systems and data, but by measuring "progress" solely by technological standards, measuring "value" solely by financial metrics and measuring "understanding" (i.e. what's being "optimized") by data and systems--all reductionist left-hemisphere functions-- we cut ourselves off from the moral universe that enables our primary selective species advantage--our social experience. We are not social creatures like ants that self-organize by instinct and pheromone trails: we self-organize in a moral universe in which our exquisite sensitivity to fairness and unfairness in all its intuitive, right-hemisphere width and breadth has been hard-wired as the essential foundation of our primary selective species advantage. All of which leads to a question we ask ourselves: could instability trigger radical change in our own life? A health crisis offers an analogy many of us have experienced. We're living our lives, doing what we always do, and suddenly we experience a health emergency that calls how we've been living into question: how did I become ill? We realize we weren't really paying attention to our diet, our fitness, our sources of stress, our conflicting goals or our doubts or anomie. We never thought of ourselves as being in denial, but we were in denial--a denial that included denial itself. Faced with a condition that could prove fatal or debilitating, we realize our old way of living wasn't healthy, even though we made excuses and told ourselves that we were generally living a healthy life. Stripped of excuses and rationalizations, we realize we were eating out a lot and that these meals weren't necessarily healthy, even though we ordered the salad instead of the fries. The meals were optimized to trigger our dopamine receptors--this tastes good--and generate a profit for a highly competitive, cost-sensitive business. We realize that if we truly want to have a healthy diet, we have to prepare real, highly nutritious food at home, with very occasional exceptions. We realize that our stress levels cannot possibly decline unless we make radical changes in our employment / work lives, our home lives and perhaps in our entire understanding of what our life is actually about. The point here is health crises force us to reassess things we were content to leave as-is prior to the crisis. We weren't actually living a very healthy life, but we told ourselves it was healthy enough because we had no symptoms of illness. That the causal chains of an unhealthy life--stress, diet, fitness, unresolved conflicts--were steadily undermining our well-being was invisible, until something snapped and we experience a health crisis. Simply put, we avoid radical change until there is no other option left. Denial is comfortable, and we do what's comfortable until it's no longer possible to do so. Financial matters can also force radical change on us. Our home equity is a "savings account" we can tap until the bubble pops and suddenly we have no equity at all--we only have debt. Equity comes and goes but the debt remains unchanged: that's the problem with debt. The system we inhabit is inherently unstable because it rests on artifice, not authenticity, on financial bubbles, not value, and Anti-Progress, not Progress. Denial is comfortable and facing all that undermines the quality of our lives and our well-being is not just uncomfortable, it's extremely troubling, for we sense that once we strip away our denial, excuses and rationalizations, we'll be forced to make radical changes in our lives, changes we're not prepared to make until there is no other option left. If what I've laid out in these five essays is an accurate account of what's really going on, the intrinsic instability of a system that depends on our acceptance of civilizational psychosis for its continuity and coherence will crack wide open. And when that happens, our denial will crack wide open, and many of us will become angry that the rigged casino didn't work out for us as promised. Many are confident that any crisis is 10 or 15 years away, and so we'll all have plenty of time to prepare. Their forecast may prove to be correct, but their confidence is a form of denial of what an unstable state means: an unstable state is unpredictable and prone to sudden phase changes. To be confident that any crisis is 10 years away is akin to gazing at an unstable mountainside and declaring that an avalanche is safely in the future. Any confidence in a prediction about an unstable system is a tacit denial of the way that instability is hidden beneath a surface stability that is reassuring due to recency bias but misleading. When the latest polls find that only 18% of Gen Z see AI as a positive development, this is the equivalent of a tremor shaking an unstable mountainside. Is assuming we'll all have decades to prepare for instability reality-based, or is it denial dressed up in data? Many of us will be forced to make radical changes in our own lives once the unstable system we inhabit cracks wide open. Those who recognized the fragility of our civilizational psychosis and acted before the avalanche will do better than those who waited until it was too late. My point here is: asking ourselves what it will take to make radical changes in our own lives now, not in some distant future, is a worthwhile exercise. Anticipating that we might be thirsty in the future is a motivation to start digging a well now, as "once we're thirsty, it's too late to dig a well." From the point of view of stability, any radical change is needlessly risky. When a crisis takes away stability and predictability, then everything reverses: clinging on to what caused the crisis is what's risky and making radical changes is what offers hope for solutions. Even when we're in a situation that's undermining our well-being, we cling to the status quo. When we're finally forced to undertake radical changes, it's a kind of relief, for we are forced to jettison what wasn't working but was working just well enough to keep us frozen in place. 
Please read these essays as if they are anonymous and therefore must be judged on their own merits. >When Unfairness Is Systemic, the Consequences Are Flight, Resistance, Revolt We've Optimized Fragility, Failure, Denial--and Rage Inequality, AI and Digital Life Are Undermining Society Remember: In a Crisis, Everyone Will Consider Themselves 'The Good Guys' Chaos Unleashed: When "Irrational" Makes Perfect Sense New short video: Could Instability Trigger Radical Change In Your Life? (2:16 min) My book Investing In Revolution is available at a 10% discount ($18 for the paperback, $24 for the hardcover and $8.95 for the ebook edition). Introduction (free) Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com Subscribe to my Substack for free My recent books: Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site. THE REVOLUTION TRILOGY: Investing In Revolution Ultra-Processed Life The Mythology of Progress Systemic Problems/Solutions Investing In Revolution (2025) Introduction (free) The Mythology of Progress (2024) Introduction (free) Global Crisis, National Renewal (2021) Introduction (free) Money and Work Unchained (2017) Introduction (free) A Radically Beneficial World (2015) Introduction (free) What You Can Do Yourself Ultra-Processed Life (2025) Introduction (free) Self-Reliance in the 21st Century (2022) Introduction (free) When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal (2022) Introduction (free) Get a Job, Build a Real Career and Defy a Bewildering Economy (2014) Intro (free) Novels The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher Intro (free) The Secret Life of an Asian Heroine First chapters (free) Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com. Subscribe to my Substack for free Investing In Revolution print $18, (Kindle $8.95, Hardcover $24 (145 pages, 2025) 
Only now do we see that we've been investing in revolution for decades--not the revolutions we thought we were investing in, revolutions in technology and finance, but in the social revolution made inevitable by the extremes that we've reached in our single-minded pursuit of private gains.
The pendulum that we've pushed to an extreme will swing to the opposite extreme, and the artifices that have propped up a facade a stability for decades will accelerate the disorder rather than reverse it. We now stand at the point of decision, and this book offers a path to a reformation and renewal that serves the shared interests of us all, not just the few. Introduction (free) Ultra-Processed Life print $16, (Kindle $7.95, audiobook, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) 
Ultra-Processed Life: the substitution of a synthetic, commoditized, very profitable facsimile for what was once authentic.
Ultra-Processed Life is my term for everything that is analogous to ultra-processed snacks: attractively marketed, instantly alluring, easy to consume, addictive by design, tasty in the moment but harmful over time, its origins a black box of unknown processes, the brightly colored product bearing no resemblance to the real-world ingredients, an idealized form of what is inherently imperfect, untethered from the natural world. As with many others, the catalyst for my exploration was a life-threatening medical crisis that did not have a specific cause. This led me to wonder if our entire way of life is like an ultra-processed snack: tasty but not healthy, edible but stripped of the nutrients we need to be healthy, addictive by design. Introduction (free) The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $20, (Kindle $9.95, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) audiobook, Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF) 
What if the policies to accelerate growth are no longer working because our fix for every problem--growth at any cost--is failing? We're told Progress is inevitable as a result of technology, but everyday life is getting harder, not easier--the opposite of Progress, what I call Anti-Progress.
What if the real source of the unraveling is far deeper than economics or politics? What if the problem is what we see as the inevitable destiny of humanity--Progress--is actually a modern mythology, disconnected from the real-world consequences of growth for growth's sake? We indignantly reject that Progress is a mythology, but our need for mythology hasn't gone away because we've mastered technology; we've created a modern mythology of technology that is heedless of its own consequences. To truly progress, we need a new mythology aligned to 21st century realities. Read the Introduction and first chapter for free
Recent entries: Could Instability Trigger Radical Change In Your Life? May 28, 2026 Why Is Consumer Sentiment at Record Lows? May 27, 2026 The Overstuffed Freezer Analogy May 25, 2026 When Unfairness Is Systemic, the Consequences Are Flight, Resistance, Revolt May 20, 2026 Inequality, AI and Digital Life Are Undermining Society May 19, 2026 We've Optimized Fragility, Failure, Denial--and Rage May 18, 2026 Remember: In a Crisis, Everyone Will Consider Themselves 'The Good Guys' May 13, 2026 Chaos Unleashed: When "Irrational" Makes Perfect Sense May 12, 2026 When US Treasuries Play a Reverse Card May 11, 2026 What Would Be Truly Bullish? Actually Fixing What's Broken May 6, 2026 Recession and Revolution: Our Experience Isn't a Model or System May 4, 2026 Why We're Helpless When Things Break Down May 1, 2026 AI, Money, Human Nature and the Problem with Problems April 29, 2026
Sex, Money and Demographics
April 27, 2026
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Mastery requires reading and doing.
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Extra-Special Bonus Aphorisms:
"There is no security on this earth; there is only opportunity." (Douglas MacArthur) "We are what we repeatedly do." (Aristotle) "Do the thing and you shall have the power." (Ralph Waldo Emerson) "Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius and a lot of courage to move in the opposite direction." (E.F. Schumacher, via Tom R.) "He who will not risk cannot win." (John Paul Jones) "When we drink coffee, ideas march in like the army." (Honore de Balzac) "Progress is not possible without deviation." (Frank Zappa, via Richard Metzger) "Victory favors those who take pains." (amat victoria curam) "The man who has a garden and a library has everything." (Cicero, via Lee Bentley) "A healthy homecooked family meal and a home garden are revolutionary acts." (CHS) "Do you know what amazes me more than anything else? The impotence of force to organize anything." (Napoleon Bonaparte) "The way of the Tao is reversal" Or "Reversal is the movement of Tao." (Lao Tzu) "Chance favours the prepared mind." (Louis Pasteur) "Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm." (Winston Churchill) "Where there is ruin, there is hope for treasures." (Rumi) "The realm of gratitude is boundless." (CHS, 11/25/15) "History doesn't have a reverse gear." (CHS, 12/22/15) Smith's Law of Conservation of Risk: Every sustained action has more than one consequence. Some consequences will appear positive for a time before revealing their destructive nature. Some consequences will be intended, some will not. Some will be foreseeable, some will not. Some will be controllable, some will not. Those that are unforeseen and uncontrollable will trigger waves of other unforeseen and uncontrollable consequences. (July 8, 2014)(thanks to Lew G. for retitling the idea.) Smith's Neofeudalism Principle #1: If the citizenry cannot replace a kleptocratic authoritarian government and/or limit the power of the financial Aristocracy at the ballot box, the nation is a democracy in name only. The Smith Corollary to Metcalfe's Law (The Network Effect): the value of the network is created not just by the number of connected devices/users but by the value of the information and knowledge shared by users in sub-networks and in the entire network. (CHS, 4/6/16) My Credo of Liberation: I no longer care if the power centers of our society--the distant, fortified castles of our financial feudal system--are changed by my actions, for I am liberated by the act of resistance. I am no longer complicit in perpetuating fraudulent feudalism and the pathology of concentrated power. I no longer covet signifiers of membership in the Upper Caste that serves the plutocracy. I am liberated from self-destructive consumerist-State financialization and the delusion that debt servitude and obedience to sociopathological Elites serve my self-interests. (Thank you, Klaus-Peter L., for reminding me) "We've become a culture of excuses rather than solutions: solutions always require sustained effort and discipline." (CHS 4/9/16) "Fraud as a way of life caters an extravagant banquet of consequences." (CHS 4/14/16) "Creativity = problem solving = value creation." (CHS 6/4/16) "Truth is powerful because it is the core dynamic of solving problems." (CHS 7/21/17) "We live in a system of human emotions that masquerades as a science (economics)." (CHS 1/1/18) "Always remember, your focus determines your reality." (George Lucas) "Diversity is for poor people. Sameness is for the successful." (GFB) "When power dissipates suddenly, it dissipates completely." (CHS 7/14/19) "Disobedience is the true foundation of liberty. The obedient must be slaves." (Henry David Thoreau) "Markets cannot price in the value of non-monetized natural assets such as diverse ecosystems." (CHS 7/14/19) "Magical thinking isn't optimism, it is folly." CHS 1/3/22) "Tune in (to self-reliance), drop out (of hyper-consumerism and debt-serfdom) and turn on (to relocalizing capital and agency)." (CHS 1/5/22) "The path to everything you desire starts here: like yourself as you are right now." (CHS 11/20/22) "There are only two signals: how many essentials you produce and share and if you're consuming less with better results. Everything else is noise." (CHS 12/17/22) "Liberation is no longer needing any confirmation or feedback from others or the world for one's sense of self. Wealth, fame, recognition, admiration, praise, prestige, approval, sainthood, martyrdom, success: none are needed, none are desired." (CHS 12/26/22) "When fame, wealth, prestige, status and glory are out of reach, you're free to pursue other more valuable things." (CHS 2/6/22) "It is the sacred duty of every activist who seeks to better their community to grow and share as much life-giving food as is humanly possible." (CHS 6/15/23) "Being anonymous, gray and unknown is the ideal state of freedom." (CHS 3/15/24) "We seem to have entered a world of anti-leisure and anti-productivity in which the unpaid shadow work demanded to keep all the complicated digital bits in motion obliterate our leisure and productivity." CHS (5/22/24) "It is axiomatic that failing systems work the best just before they fail catastrophically." Ray W. "Looking younger is mere technique; thinking younger demands creativity." CHS (10/16/24) "Tell me what's taboo and I'll tell you the truths that threaten the status quo." CHS (12/15/24) "This is the core of the Attention Economy: the ultimate addiction is the addiction to ourselves." CHS (1/28/25) "If You Seek the Truth, Look for What's Taboo." CHS (7/18/25) "My definition of self-reliance: the less you need, the easier it is to get what you need." CHS (7/26/25) "Mastery requires reading and doing." CHS (7/28/25) "The replacement of authentic value, quality, agency, choice, trust, legitimacy and experience with self-serving facsimiles is the key dynamic of Ultra-Processed Life, my term for the present-day human condition." CHS (8/12/25) "Ultra-Processed Life replaces an authentic experience with a synthetic, simulated, commoditized, highly profitable version that's superficially attractive but destructive over the long term." CHS (8/12/25) "What we see everywhere is the replacement of authentic things--including democracy--with synthetic facsimiles designed to maintain the illusion of choice and value." CHS (8/12/25) "Sometimes certainty is the enemy we don't even see and uncertainty is our most faithful ally." CHS (9/20/25) "Sanitized, homogenized, synthesized Ultra-Processed Life isn't more fun; it's just more profitable." CHS (4/6/26) "AI is ultra-processed cognition." CHS (4/6/26) |
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