Musings 2       1/15/11
 
Item #1: small business/entrepreneurship
 
My longtime friend G.F.B. (also an entrepreneur/self-employed) submitted  "Brilliant at the basics of business 100 tips:"
http://blog.strategicedge.co.uk/pdfs/brilliant_at_the_ba sics_of_business_1-100.pdf
 
I replied that Tip Number One should be:
"Stay focused long enough to read the next 99 tips."
That in itself is challenging....
 
My own experience as an entrepreneur/self-employed/small biz person is best summarized by a quote from Mark Cuban:
"Ideas are like (anuses): everybody's got one. What counts is execution."
 
You can lose money for a lot of reasons, even if you're executing daily.But it seems most people who give up a business/self-employment burn out on the daily grind of executing the essentials. You don't have to love it but you do have to value it and tolerate it.
 
Many of these 100 tips are self-evident--a common characteristic to any such list--but there will probably be 10 things which are worth remembering or re-emphasizing.
 

Item #2: Oil and Geopolitics
 
If the U.S. really wanted to take down Iran's regime, all it needs to do is drop the price of oil to $25/barrel. That would trigger "regime change" in Iran and Venezuela as well, and cripple Russia's grander goals as well.
 

Item #3: Investment idea A
 
Legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens was recently mentioned in the Wall Street Journal as recommending the retrofitting of gasoline-burning vehicles to natural gas.
 
As I described in http ://www.oftwominds.com/blogdec10/natural-gas12-10.html,The (Relatively) Good News About Natural Gas   (December 15, 10), natural gas supplies have risen dramatically in the U.S.
 
"Foreign Affairs" published an article in their January 11 issue which states the same case" "The Good News about Gas" by John Deutch.
 
FA's website is mostly subscription only, but you can probably read the issue at a library for free.
 
I don't know of any companies which manufacture conversion kits (from diesel/gasoline to compressed natural gas), but it's something to keep an eye out for.
 

Item #4: Investment idea B
 
Knowledgeable correspondent Bart D. recently alerted me to the key investment insight that many commodities that could potentially become scarce are off the radar screen of most investors.
 
Everyone knows about gold, silver, oil, rare earth metals, but as Bart noted:
 
"The commodities landscape is has very diverse terrain and the speculative herd has by no means explored every corner of it.  They tend to flock to the big and flashy and easy to get to stuff ...
 
I urge serious commodity investors to have a good look through the wealth of information in the USGS website
http://minerals.usgs.go v/ds/ 05/140/#data
... there is data there that is as honest as you'll find ... and provides a veritable 'travellers guide' to reaching the good investment features of the commodity landscape.  You can't just pick up the phone and book a tour to them though ... you gotta get there on your own initiative!
 
My favourites are the agricultural nutrients ... Phosphate and Potassium ... they must be used and they ARE in long term decline in terms of the cost of processing declining grades of ore body. Then there are little known minerals/metals such as Boron and feldspar."
 
Thank you, Bart--this is an "investment strategy" with legs. Everyone seems to be onto rare earth metals (see http://on line.wsj.com/article/BT-CO- 101230-705465.html) and lithium (SQM, a Chilean producer), but these plays may recede and offer some opportunities in the future.
 

Item #5: bogus GDP numbers
 
What if spending borrowed money wasn't included in the GDP (gross domestic product)? Since the U.S. government is borrowing $1.5 trillion a year to fund its spending, then if borrowed funds were excluded, the GDP would shrink by 11%.
 
If your household ran up credit cards to the max in order to spend freely, is that "spending" really the same as cash that was earned and spent?
 
To make those two radically different types of spending equivalent--that strikes me as a conceptual conceit intended to obscure reality.
 
 
Item #6: adverts as the future of films?
 
This advert from Intel for their new i5 chipset mashes up film, animation, videogames and desktop icons into a short "chase sequence," presumably to show off the capabilities of the Intel processor.
http://ww w.techyou.fr/ 11/01/intel-core-i5-une-pub-2-0/
 
(The site is French but Google will translate.)
 
This clip was certainly interesting once, but it would be annoying for any sequence longer than a few minutes. Nonetheless the splicing of different genres offers up an interesting palate of options for future films, both amateur (YouTube) and professional.
 

If none of these items struck your fancy, try the Dow set to piano music (via G.F.B.):
 
http://www.edlundart. com/pages/dowpiano.html
 
charles
www.oftwominds.com