Anti-Progress, Breakdown, Reset November 22, 2024
The indicators of breakdown and collapse are all around us, but we don't dare name them because then they'd become a problem we can't bury.
A reality doesn't exist in the human experience until it has a name. If it doesn't have a name, we don't recognize it, and can't discuss it. We may think we've already named everything under the sun but new things arise and need to be named to be fully experienced / grasped / understood. I have a name for The Collapse of Quality: Anti-Progress, which is the subject of my new book The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century. Anti-Progress is the opposite of progress, the reversal of progress, yet it's presented as "progress" to mask its true nature. So we're told the new appliance is "progress" because it now has WiFi, but the decay of quality and durability hidden behind the facade of "progress" is Anti-Progress in its most virulent form. We're told ours is the finest and most prosperous system ever, yet 75% of the adult populace is now at risk of metabolic disorders--an unprecedented collapse of public health that can only be described as Anti-Progress. Three-Quarters of U.S. Adults Are Now Overweight or Obese, with the inevitable result being over half the adult populace is diabetic or pre-diabetic, with catastrophic consequences for health and well-being: Is the collapse of the birthrate a positive indicator of social-economic health? No, it's an indicator of Anti-Progress. When young people can no longer afford to have children, it's an indicator of collapse, not prosperity. Are soaring disability rates a positive indicator of social-economic health? No. Are health insurance costs quadrupling in one generation a positive indicator of social-economic health? No. Anti-Progress generates breakdown. Consider this though experiment. Let's say the landfills are all shut down, and we each have to store all our trash in our backyard or in multi-family buildings, piled in the parking lot, not for a day or two, but indefinitely. How long before the entire complex of civilization breaks down not from a natural disaster but from choking to death on overconsumption / "waste is growth"? Breakdowns erode buffers and our ability to kludge a fix. Duct tape works for a while, but the next breakdown moots the duct-tape fix, and the entire machine grinds to a halt. Anti-Progress generates breakdowns which cascade into collapse. This process is greased by optimization, which strips out redundancies, buffers, spare parts availability and in-depth repair capabilities as needless expenses that reduce profits. So when the breakdowns occur, they quickly snowball into collapse because the system was optimized to function as if nothing truly untoward could possibly happen. The apparent robustness of "normalcy" fosters a detached-from-reality faith that the system is unbreakable, and we brush aside all the indicators of Anti-Progress and breakdown with magical thinking: AI will fix that. This faith and breezy confidence it will all work out without us having to do anything other than what we're doing today is the dynamic driving collapse: After breakdown comes the opportunity to reset the system. There's never any need for a reset until the system breaks down completely, i.e. collapse. Only after the failure of the status quo optimization is complete will we accept the reality that things have to change in some fundamental fashion. All the "solutions" have consequences which must be literally buried or pushed out of sight, lest the Anti-Progress become undeniable. Quick, fire up the diesel-fueled dozers and bury the non-recyclable wind turbine blades. Oh yeah, AI is gonna fix this, so no worries--silly us! AI is gonna clean up the Great Pacific Garbage Gyre the size of Texas, too. This isn't the only floating mat of plastic garbage in the seas, of course; it's just one of several. The indicators of breakdown and collapse are all around us, but we don't dare name them because then they'd become a problem we can't bury. We could do something different, of course. We could recognize Anti-Progress and start discussing what kind of reset might be possible and what kind of reset might be sustainably serve human well-being rather than "growth for growth's sake." Or we can keep burying all the evidence of Anti-Progress and shout, but look at the stock market--it's going up! It's hitting new highs! Everything's great! Excuse me, but the banquet of consequences has been served. Best not to let it get cold. The Slow Death of the Single Family Home (30:57 min). My recent books: Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site. The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF) Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF) The Asian Heroine Who Seduced Me (Novel) print $10.95, Kindle $6.95 Read an excerpt for free (PDF) When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $18 print, $8.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF) Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $9.95, print $24, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF). A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $8.95, print $20, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF). Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World (Kindle $5, print $10, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF). The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $4.95 Kindle, $10.95 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF) Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print) Read the first section for free Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com. Subscribe to my Substack for free The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF) What if growth--and policies to accelerate growth--are no longer working because our fix for every problem--growth for growth's sake--is failing? We're told Progress is inevitable as a result of technology, but everyday life is getting harder, not easier--the opposite of Progress, what I call Anti-Progress. What if the real source of the unraveling is far deeper than economics or politics? What if the problem is what we see as the inevitable destiny of humanity--Progress--is actually a modern mythology, disconnected from the real-world consequences of growth for growth's sake? We indignantly reject that Progress is a mythology, but our need for mythology hasn't gone away because we've mastered technology; we've created a modern mythology of technology that is heedless of its own consequences. To truly progress, we need a new mythology aligned to 21st century realities. That's the goal of this book. Read the Introduction and first chapter for free Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF) Just as no one was left unaffected by the rise of globalization, no one will be unaffected by its demise. The only response that reduces our vulnerability is self-reliance: de-risk your life by carving a path that works for you. When Ralph Waldo Emerson wrote his famous essay Self-Reliance in 1841, the economy was localized and households supplied many of their own essentials. Now we're dependent on distant sources for our essentials. For Emerson, self-reliance is thinking for ourselves rather than taking the conventional path. Self-reliance today means reordering our priorities and values. Self-reliance is often confused with self-sufficiency--the equivalent of Thoreau's cabin. But self-reliance isn't about piling up money or an isolated cabin; it's about cooperating with trustworthy others in productive networks. The book details the essential mindset of self-reliance and 18 nuts and bolts principles of self-reliance in the 21st century. Podcast with Richard Bonugli: Self Reliance in the 21st Century (43 min)
Recent entries: Anti-Progress, Breakdown, Reset November 22, 2024 How Do We Fix the Collapse of Quality? November 20, 2024 The Cure for What Ails Us: Market Crash and Mass Defaults November 18, 2024 The Seeds of Social Revolution: Extreme Wealth Inequality November 15, 2024 The Elephant in the Room--No, the Other Elephant November 14, 2024 Machiavelli's Sage Advice to Transformational Leaders November 13, 2024 The Cost of Owning a Home Is Soaring November 11, 2024 Unaffordable Housing and Homeless Encampments: How Did It Get This Bad? November 8, 2024 The Limits of Government November 6, 2024 Central Planning: China's Miracle--and Malaise November 4, 2024
The Extremely Profitable Inner Workings of Digital Addiction
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"There is no security on this earth; there is only opportunity." (Douglas MacArthur) "We are what we repeatedly do." (Aristotle) "Do the thing and you shall have the power." (Ralph Waldo Emerson) "Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent. It takes a touch of genius and a lot of courage to move in the opposite direction." (E.F. Schumacher, via Tom R.) "He who will not risk cannot win." (John Paul Jones) "When we drink coffee, ideas march in like the army." (Honore de Balzac) "Progress is not possible without deviation." (Frank Zappa, via Richard Metzger) "Victory favors those who take pains." (amat victoria curam) "The man who has a garden and a library has everything." (Cicero, via Lee Bentley) "A healthy homecooked family meal and a home garden are revolutionary acts." (CHS) "Do you know what amazes me more than anything else? The impotence of force to organize anything." (Napoleon Bonaparte) "The way of the Tao is reversal" Or "Reversal is the movement of Tao." (Lao Tzu) "Chance favours the prepared mind." (Louis Pasteur) "Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm." (Winston Churchill) "Where there is ruin, there is hope for treasures." (Rumi) "The realm of gratitude is boundless." (CHS, 11/25/15) "History doesn't have a reverse gear." (CHS, 12/22/15) Smith's Law of Conservation of Risk: Every sustained action has more than one consequence. Some consequences will appear positive for a time before revealing their destructive nature. Some consequences will be intended, some will not. Some will be foreseeable, some will not. Some will be controllable, some will not. Those that are unforeseen and uncontrollable will trigger waves of other unforeseen and uncontrollable consequences. (July 8, 2014)(thanks to Lew G. for retitling the idea.) Smith's Neofeudalism Principle #1: If the citizenry cannot replace a kleptocratic authoritarian government and/or limit the power of the financial Aristocracy at the ballot box, the nation is a democracy in name only. The Smith Corollary to Metcalfe's Law (The Network Effect): the value of the network is created not just by the number of connected devices/users but by the value of the information and knowledge shared by users in sub-networks and in the entire network. (CHS, 4/6/16) My Credo of Liberation: I no longer care if the power centers of our society--the distant, fortified castles of our financial feudal system--are changed by my actions, for I am liberated by the act of resistance. I am no longer complicit in perpetuating fraudulent feudalism and the pathology of concentrated power. I no longer covet signifiers of membership in the Upper Caste that serves the plutocracy. I am liberated from self-destructive consumerist-State financialization and the delusion that debt servitude and obedience to sociopathological Elites serve my self-interests. (Thank you, Klaus-Peter L., for reminding me) "We've become a culture of excuses rather than solutions: solutions always require sustained effort and discipline." (CHS 4/9/16) "Fraud as a way of life caters an extravagant banquet of consequences." (CHS 4/14/16) "Creativity = problem solving = value creation." (CHS 6/4/16) "Truth is powerful because it is the core dynamic of solving problems." (CHS 7/21/17) "We live in a system of human emotions that masquerades as a science (economics)." (CHS 1/1/18) "Always remember, your focus determines your reality." (George Lucas) "Diversity is for poor people. Sameness is for the successful." (GFB) "When power dissipates suddenly, it dissipates completely." (CHS 7/14/19) "Disobedience is the true foundation of liberty. The obedient must be slaves." (Henry David Thoreau) "Markets cannot price in the value of non-monetized natural assets such as diverse ecosystems." (CHS 7/14/19) "Magical thinking isn't optimism, it is folly." CHS 1/3/22) "Tune in (to self-reliance), drop out (of hyper-consumerism and debt-serfdom) and turn on (to relocalizing capital and agency)." (CHS 1/5/22) "The path to everything you desire starts here: like yourself as you are right now." (CHS 11/20/22) "There are only two signals: how many essentials you produce and share and if you're consuming less with better results. Everything else is noise." (CHS 12/17/22) "Liberation is no longer needing any confirmation or feedback from others or the world for one's sense of self. Wealth, fame, recognition, admiration, praise, prestige, approval, sainthood, martyrdom, success: none are needed, none are desired." (CHS 12/26/22) "When fame, wealth, prestige, status and glory are out of reach, you're free to pursue other more valuable things." (CHS 2/6/22) "It is the sacred duty of every activist who seeks to better their community to grow and share as much life-giving food as is humanly possible." (CHS 6/15/23) "Being anonymous, gray and unknown is the ideal state of freedom." (CHS 3/15/24) "We seem to have entered a world of anti-leisure and anti-productivity in which the unpaid shadow work demanded to keep all the complicated digital bits in motion obliterate our leisure and productivity." CHS (5/22/24) "It is axiomatic that failing systems work the best just before they fail catastrophically." Ray W. "Looking younger is mere technique; thinking younger demands creativity." CHS (10/16/24) |
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