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Welcome to Third World Metropolis U.S.A. (April 18, 2008) Readers Journal has been updated again-- check out the new thought-provoking comments. A number of trends suggest America's big cities will soon share the ills of large Third World metropolises. Chief among these trends is the widening income and wealth gap between rich and poor that we addressed earlier this week in The U.S.A.: The Third World's First Superpower (April 16, 2008). Cities are exacerbating this trend by attempting to offset plummeting property and business taxes by raising fees. Since I live near San Francisco, I use that city as an example. Yes, S.F. is uniquely able to milk the millions of tourists who pass through the city, but nonetheless the trends which are so egregious in S.F. are visible elsewhere, too. San Francisco: $100 million for city - that's the ticket:
San Francisco now gets about $90 million a year from parking fines. Tacking on another $10 per violation would raise about $13 million or so more a year. Parking at an expired meter, for example, would ballon to $60 downtown and $50 in a neighborhood commercial district - among the highest in the nation.The trend really got rolling in the mild recession of 2001-2002, and has only picked up momentum. The piling on of fees barely touches the wealthy living in their leafy enclaves or luxury highrise condos--neither do cuts in services like public transit-- but residents and businesses feel like a ravenous anaconda serpent is squeezing them to death: A Hefty Toll: How San Francisco's broken fee systems affects businesses and residents (June 2005)
On a per-capita basis, San Franciscans paid roughly $461 in governmental fees in 2004, which is more than double that of neighboring San Jose's per capita figure of $222 and almost triple Honolulu's $156 per capita, which like San Francisco combines city and county government.In other words, at some point, residents vote with their feet. As the middle-class is burdened to the breaking point, some move, leaving the city with a relatively larger population of poor residents who use more services. In response, the city raises bus fares and cuts routes, making it even harder for the poor to stay. The truly poor have no choice--they can't afford a car and/or the commute costs. They need to stay in the city to be near informal job opportunities--babysitting, odd jobs, gardening, etc. In just one example of how the wealthy are sequestered from the slow-death-by-fees faced by the working and middle-class, consider this photo of the city's famed Victorian houses. The remodeled one on the right has a one-car garage--a rare feature in original Victorians. Thus, there is little off-street parking in San Francisco. As a a result, most residents with autos must spend a considerable amount of time searching for a parking space on the street; and as a painful corrollary, they also get a high number of parking tickets: street sweeping, encroaching on a red zone, etc. etc. Though this might seem like a modest nuisance to you, to the resident of S.F. it is a burdensome tax, for it is nearly impossible not to accumulate parking tickets unless you're wealthy and own a multi-million dollar home or new condo with underground parking. As people leave and property values decline, the city then raises fees on the remaining middle class. At some breaking point, the middle-class shrinks; people leave, go bankrupt, close their businesses, etc. You might expect the city payroll to have remained in line with population growth; but no, it grew by over 50% even as population barely budged. This article is from 2004, and city payrolls have grown since then. S.F.'s runaway payroll: Workforce, overtime soared 1996-2004 (March 2004)
San Francisco, facing a projected cash shortfall of $352 million for the coming fiscal year, can trace its budgetary woes partly to a city payroll that grew by 54 percent during the Willie Brown administration, city controller records show.Four years later, the city is facing yet another $300 million deficit. Did anyone undertake any structural reforms in the past four years? Evidently not: Newsom orders cuts; layoffs likely in S.F. (March 2008)
San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom has ordered all city departments to slash salary expenses by at least 8 percent in order to close a projected $300 million deficit, a move that officials say is likely to result in hundreds of city workers being laid off.Sounds harsh, but then hundreds of employees were added just since the last "budget shortfall" a mere four years earlier. SAN FRANCISCO: For the first time, city budget to top $6 billion 5.4% bigger than this year, mayor calls it 'back to basics' (June 2007) Note that the "back to basics" budget in 2007 was over $6 billion-- a hefty increase from 2004's budget of $4.8 billion.That is an astonishing 25% increase in three years, when population actually declined and inflation was perhaps 3-5% a year. Here is a Third World metropolis in the making: 1. As in Third World cities, the wealthy live in protected enclaves and heavily secured luxury highrises, while a few feet or blocks away hundreds of homeless people sleep on sidewalks or in shelters. 2. As overburdened taxpayers flee/lose middle-class incomes, then the city adds even more taxes and fees on the remaining survivors in a desperate attempt to placate its public-employee elite, which has staked out a larger and larger share of tax revenues. 3. Rather than structurally overhaul payroll and burgeoning overtime, the city cuts services to the poor even as it raises taxes. The poor, having no choice but to stay close to employment, become a relatively larger share of the population, further taxing city services. 4. The feedback loop of higher fees/taxes, declining businesses and service cuts continues until services and revenues both decline precipitously. 5. In a counter-intuitive fashion, rents for the poor actually rise as the pressure to stay close to informal work and whatever services remain creates demand for cheaper (and hence more crowded) housing. For more on this phenomenon, please see The U.S.A.: The Third World's First Superpower (April 16, 2008) and Planet of Slums by Mike Davis.
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