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Are We Poor Or Prosperous? (February 21, 2006) ![]() Supporting the peachy cause is BusinessWeek's little chart of rising wealth (right) and their accompanying article Why More Households Are Feeling Flush. The thesis is simple: household wealth has climbed by $10 trillion since 2001, so no wonder Americans are spending money like water--they're rich and constantly getting richer due to the rise in their housing and stock portfolios. Sounds pleasant, but BusinessWeek left out the important statistic: what percentage of American households are participating in the non-housing part of rising wealth? As we all know, 90% of the non-housing wealth in the U.S. is held by the top 10% of the population, meaning that BusinessWeek's glorious increase in wealth is actually highly concentrated in a few hands, not spread around like their chart might suggest to the unwitting or gullible. A more accurate nationwide look--and a far more sobering one--can be gained by reading a recent piece on Yahoo Finance: Americans' Debt: Worse Than You Think?: According to Kasriel's calculation, last year Americans spent approximately $472 billion more than they earned after taxes -- a negative savings rate of 5.2 percent. That spending is double the previous year -- and a record high.Sounds like 90% of us are heading for debtor's prison, while the 10% who own 90% of the stocks and bonds are feeling just fine. For how long, no one can say, but if the 90% stop spending, how long before the top 10% start feeling a little less wealthy? Put another way--if housing falls apart under an avalanche of foreclosures, how long can stocks keep rising? How long will it take for that "free" $10 trillion in wealth to vanish in a haze of bubble-popping panic? Perhaps not as long as you might think. * * * copyright © 2006 Charles Hugh Smith. All rights reserved in all media. I would be honored if you linked this wEssay to your site, or printed a copy for your own use. * * * |
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